President Dilma Rousseff’s hope of enduring a looming impeachment is ending up being dimmer each day.On Monday, the Brazilian Bar association submitted a new procedure to remove her from power on the grounds of accounting fraud. The other day, her party, PT, lost their largest ally in the Brazilian Congress as centrist celebration PMDB, administered by Vice-president Michel Temer, withdrew their support from the government.

As investigations on the Petrobras corruption scandal move on, it becomes significantly possible that Rousseff’s opposition may pull off the 342 votes (from 513) to secure her impeachment.

Bitter lesson

This series of defeats need to teach PT a bitter lesson: not all judicial disagreements can be won with political methods. In a tapped call, Lula specified his belief that a determined congressional base can make the distinction in this trial, as if the courts were but the superstructure of a genuine political battle. His method has actually been to use political force against political and non-political representatives, including court judges and private investigators.

Her federal government s recent vibrant and undesirable procedures suggest she agrees with Lula. The government appointed a new minister of justice and chose to replace the head of the federal police along with the examination s team.

No move, however, produced more powerful reaction than Rousseff’s consultation of Lula as chief of personnel on 16 March.

Being part of Rousseff`s cabinet would secure Lula from an ongoing criminal investigation by the public ministry. A series of taped phone calls suggest protecting Lula from legal persecution belonged to Rousseff`s intent.

Lula’s visit was later suspended by Gilmar Mendes, a Supreme Court judge. Not able to officially take his ministerial post, Lula has resorted to informal activities, conference with popular political figures and the global media in an effort to reconstruct Rousseff`s track record and governing coalition.

This is an overwhelming job even for a male of Lula s political track record. Rousseff’s divisive reelection project burned a lot of bridges in between the president and her political foes. Her federal government`s open war against Eduardo Cunha, your house speaker presently under investigation for corruption, lessened the government s ability to articulate support for its program in congress.

More basically, however, PT’s failures rest on the party’s persistence of bringing political weapons to a legal fight. Tape-recorded telephone call in between Lula and his allies exposed how strongly the former President believes that congressional action could determine the result of legal processes and investigations.

In one phone call, we hear Lula asking Dilma’s cabinet to talk with Supreme Court judge Rosa Weber about the investigations against him. In another, Lula says for political pressure versus the investigators.

Possibly Lula`s techniques could have worked in the past, when PT faced the opposition of the Social Democrats and other political parties. This time, however, they are facing the general public Prosecutor s Office, the Federal Police and the Brazilian courts.

Political chaos

PT has actually opened fire versus the judiciary, calling it partisan and politically motivated. This antagonism has actually pushed away Brazilians who are seeing for the very first time in their lives sitting political leaders and billionaire business owners going to prison on corruption charges. When picking between PT and the judiciary, many Brazilians are siding with the judiciary.

Because judicial actions have popular assistance, politicians do not wish to be seen supporting a maltreated federal government. In a year of regional elections, they wish to indicate to voters they are also on the side of the law. Some 89 congress members switched sides versus Rousseff since a pro-impeachment activist group published a site tracking politicians still supporting the government. As Lula specified in an interview on Monday, nobody likes to support a government undesirable with the public opinion.

Lula and Rousseff`s political maneuvers have led to a political chaos: an administration that freely admits trading governmental appointments for votes, a previous president turned unofficial minister aiming to inflate a shrinking base, and previous partners under arrest eager to admit in exchange for leniency. Lula wanted judges and private investigators to fear congress members. Rather, it is the Brazilian congress that fears the judiciary.

This may be bad news for the PT; however it is great news for Brazil.